This is the text version of the interactive 3D documentary. 한국어
Danger ranking › Impact threats
Impact threats #5 · An Earth-like orbit — a fairly high chance for this list, but a small rock
View in 3DThis small asteroid circles the Sun on a path very similar to Earth’s, so it comes back near us every few decades. Its total chance of impact between 2069 and 2122 is about 1 in 360 — high for this list — but it is small, so it ranks fifth.
Why?It moves at almost the same speed and in almost the same direction as Earth, so when it comes close it drifts past slowly. That makes it easier for Earth’s gravity to grab.
What nextFor the same reason it is easy for spacecraft to reach, and it has been studied as a possible target for a crewed asteroid mission.
See this scene in 3D →NASA/JPL CNEOS Sentry impact risk table · JPL Small-Body Database: 2000 SG344
Impact-threat rankings and probabilities follow NASA/JPL’s Sentry risk table (as of 2026-11-04). The other categories are editorial rankings using the published criteria. Distances to stars can carry large uncertainties.