Dangerous Space

This is the text version of the interactive 3D documentary. 한국어

Space objects that threaten Earth, ranked

From asteroids and solar storms to supernovae and black holes: 15 space objects that could threaten Earth, ranked by category, with how far away each one really is. Impact-threat rankings follow NASA/JPL Sentry.

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Impact threats

How it’s ranked: Listed in the same order as NASA/JPL’s Sentry risk table (cumulative Palermo scale). Objects that have been removed from that table are shown separately as “retired threats.”

Asteroids and comets whose orbits cross Earth’s path. They are the only threat that could actually hit us, so they are watched more closely than anything else in the sky.

  1. #11950 DA240 million km from Earth

    A possible impact in the year 2880 — the highest Palermo-scale rating on the entire risk table

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  2. #2Bennu330 million km from Earth

    A possible impact between 2178 and 2290 — the asteroid whose orbit we know best

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  3. #32008 JL3200 million km from Earth

    Seen briefly in 2008, then lost — the earliest possible impact year is 2027

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  4. #41979 XB320 million km from Earth

    Nobody has seen it since 1979 — very unlikely to hit, but big

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  5. #52000 SG34479 million km from Earth

    An Earth-like orbit — a fairly high chance for this list, but a small rock

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Retired threats

  1. –Apophis38,042 km from Earth

    Passes closer than geostationary satellites in 2029 — no impact risk for at least 100 years

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  2. –2024 YR4770 million km from Earth

    Briefly a 3% impact chance in 2025 — ruled out for Earth within days

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The Sun

How it’s ranked: A threat with a recorded history of real damage.

The star that gives us life can also knock out our technology. Solar storms cause real damage every few years.

  1. #1The Sun150 million km from Earth

    A huge solar storm could knock out power grids, satellites and communications

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Nearby stars

How it’s ranked: Editorial ranking: size of the event × how strongly it would reach Earth (distance) × how certain the timing is.

Supernovae and stars passing close by. They sound frightening, but distance decides almost everything.

  1. #1Gliese 710about 62 light-years from Earth

    In about 1.3 million years it will pass the edge of the solar system and stir up comets

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  2. #2IK Pegasiabout 150 light-years from Earth

    The nearest candidate for a Type Ia supernova — but millions of years away

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  3. #3Betelgeuseabout 550 light-years from Earth

    It will explode as a supernova one day — but at a safe distance from Earth

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Extreme objects

How it’s ranked: Editorial ranking: the worst effect each could have on Earth. None of the four threatens Earth today.

Gamma-ray bursts, magnetars and black holes. How far away are the most violent objects in the universe?

  1. #1WR 104about 8,000 light-years from Earth

    A gamma-ray burst candidate — the question is whether its jet points at Earth

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  2. #2SGR 1806-20about 28,000 light-years from Earth

    In 2004, a flash from tens of thousands of light-years away shook Earth’s upper atmosphere

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  3. #3Eta Carinaeabout 7,500 light-years from Earth

    A supernova (maybe hypernova) candidate — but far enough away

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  4. #4Sagittarius A*about 26,000 light-years from Earth

    The heaviest object in our galaxy — and at a very safe distance

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Impact-threat rankings and probabilities follow NASA/JPL’s Sentry risk table (as of 2026-11-04). The other categories are editorial rankings using the published criteria. Distances to stars can carry large uncertainties.